فقدان الگویی جامع در صنعت برق جهت تحلیل کمّی پیامدهای سیاستهای اتخاذ شده در اسناد بالادستی این صنعت موجب شده امکان ارزیابی سیاستها دشوار شود. در این مطالعه الگوی تعادل عمومی پویا با محوریت صنعت برق طراحی و با لحاظ برنامه مشارکت ملی (INDC) به عنوان سند بالادستی که در جهت اجرای توافق پاریس تصویب شده، کارآمدی سیاستهایی از قبیل سرمایهگذاری مستقیم خارجی و افزایش قیمت انرژی -به عنوان سیاست جایگزین- به منظور دستیابی به سطوح انتشار کربن پیشبینی شده در برنامه مورد سنجش واقع شده است. نتایج نشان داد اگر چه سرمایهگذاری مستقیم خارجی به میزان پیشبینی شده در برنامه و افزایش قیمت انرژی نمیتواند اهداف را محقق سازد اما اثرات مثبتی بر ارزش ستانده بخش صنعت و به طور خاص صنعت برق در پی دارد. در پایان توصیه میشود برای دستیابی به هدف کاهش انتشار و تقلیل اثرات بازگشتی ناشی از بهبود کارایی انرژی در بخش نیروگاهی، قیمت برق به صورت معناداری برای خانوار خصوصی افزایش داده شود.
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