Iranian Journal of Public Policy

Iranian Journal of Public Policy

Modeling Effective Interventions in Corona Virus (SARS-CoV-2) Management and Control in iran: A Futuristic Approach

Document Type : Research Article

Authors
Hamid Bohloli 1
Hamid Reza Jamshidi 2
Atefeh Abedini 3
Ali Ebraze 4
Fahimeh Rabbani Khah 5
1 Visiting Professor, Faculty of Law and Political Science, University of Tehran MD, PhD.
2 Professor of Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, PhD
3 Associate professor of Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, MD, PhD
4 assistant professor of Qom University of Medical Sciences, PhD.
5 PhD student in Higher Education Management, Allameh Tabatabai University, Mph
10.22059/jppolicy.2021.83364
Abstract
Having sufficient information and knowledge about the pandemic situation of (SARS-CoV-2) is one of the most effective evidence-based policy factors in controlling this destructive phenomenon in countries. Proper and timely interventions are essential for conscious control of the disease outbreak. This article examines governmental interventions (logistical, economic, security) and strategic health (4T) and behavioral interventions in different countries' pre-vaccine and post-vaccination eras. It considers vaccination the most critical and influential intervention.  However, Non-Pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) should be continued for at least one year after the complete vaccination of the target population. It is noteworthy that the development of new mutations and escape from the vaccine has raised many concerns for continued control of the disease. The research method in this article is based on the Scope review of scientific literature to find the main sources and key concepts in recognizing various governmental interventions and NPIs in the world and modelling a novel intervention formula with a futuristic approach in pandemic disease control. Based on the studies conducted and the disease trend in different parts of the world, this article presents the sine wave-based point-contingency intervention model for controlling Covid-19 disease in Iran and similar countries.
Keywords
Policy Making
Covid-19 Pandemic
Futurology
Scenario
Non- Pharmaceutical Intervention
Covid-19
Governance
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Iranian Journal of Public Policy
Volume 7, Issue 3
2021
Pages 9-35