Analysis of Human Made Climate Change on Sustainable Development of Iran

Document Type : Research Article


1 PhD Candidate in Economics, Allame Tabatabaie University

2 Full Professor, Department of Economics Development, Economics Faculty, Allame Tabatabaie University,

3 Associate Professor, Department of Energy, Agriculture and Environment. Economics Faculty, Allame Tabatabaie University


In this Study, the Integrated Approach of Scenario Planning and Institutioal Analysis and Development Analysis was employed to analysis the Human Made Climate Change on Sustainable Development in Iran. Thise paper is using the approach of Future Studies and the introduction of driver forces through the Delphi method in the form of scenarios to identify futures of sustainable development on the 12 –year horizen in Iran. In the first section, using the Causal Layered Analysis, the currenet state of the effects of Human Made Climate Change on different dimentions of Sustainable Development was investigated and then in the scenario planning section, different scenario was identified. The results of this study show that despite  the institutional structure supporting to distribute rent, the asymmetry  of information and power among various actors, intensification of path dependency, lack of active civil society, Lack of accountability and Transparency and isolation of the foreign relation, moving  torwards Sustainable Development will not provided. Conversely, with increased transparency, control over the distribution of benefit will leave out of reach of influential groups. In this regards, new supportive institutions are being developed to strengthen such a structure and with decreasing path dependency, economic sustainability will increase. Furthermore, environmental considerations not only do not bind but also are considered as a vital pillar.


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