Designing a Forecasting Implementation Model in Social Security Policies in Iran

Document Type : Research Article

Authors

1 Ph.D Student of Public Administration, Faculty of Public Administration, Qazvin Islamic Azad University, Gazvin, Iran

2 Associate Professor of Policy making, Faculty of Public Administration, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran

3 Assistant Professor of Public Administration, Faculty of Management, Adiban Islamic Azad University, Garmsar, Iran

10.22059/jppolicy.2025.102505

Abstract

Designing and validating the model of proactive implementation of social security policies with the aim of identifying the elements of effective implementation and how they relate to the purpose of foresight, forecasting the necessary resources, risk management, having alternative scenarios and preparing to face crises is the need of managers. to achieve their goals, An exploratory mixed research design is used. In the qualitative part, sampling was done in a purposeful way and theoretical saturation was achieved with 12 experts. For the analysis of specialized interviews, the qualitative analysis method of the theme and Maxqda software were implemented and the data obtained from the questionnaires were also analyzed with the method of partial least squares and Smart PLS. The finding showed that factors: management, cultural and legal technology, affect the stakeholders and key players, the platform of proactive implementation of the policies and institutions involved, these factors also affect the monitoring and foresight implementation.

Keywords


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