عادی‌سازی روابط ایران و عربستان سعودی: چشم‌انداز و راهبردهای تقویت و پایدارسازی

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 دانشیار روابط بین‎الملل، دانشکده علوم اداری و اقتصاد، دانشگاه اصفهان، اصفهان، ایران

2 دانشجوی دکتری روابط بین‎الملل، دانشکده علوم اداری و اقتصاد، دانشگاه اصفهان، اصفهان، ایران

10.22059/jppolicy.2026.106379

چکیده

توافق عادی‏سازی روابط ایران و عربستان سعودی در سال 1401 نقطه عطفی در روابط دوجانبه این دو کشور قلمداد می‏شود. این توافق به یک دوره تقابل شدید از سال 1395 به بعد پایان داده و بستری جدیدی برای گسترش تعامل و همکاری بین دو تهران- ریاض فراهم کرد. سؤال اصلی پژوهش حاکی از آن است که چه عواملی در افزایش تمایل عربستان سعودی در عادی‏سازی روابط با ایران موثر بودند، چشم‎انداز آن چگونه است و چه راهکارهای برای حفظ و تقویت آن وجود دارد؟ در پاسخ، پژوهش استدلال دارد ترکیبی از سه متغیر عدم قطعیت ناشی از تغییر در نظم بین‏المللی، ملاحظات داخلی دولت جدید عربستان (حفظ نظام سیاسی دولت جدید، نیاز به تنوع بخشی به اقتصاد و افزایش حمایت اجتماعی طبقات جدید) و عمل‌گرایی حاکم بر رهبری جدید عربستان منجر به اتخاذ راهبرد پوشش ریسک راهبردی در سیاست خارجی گردید. یکی از ارکان اصلی این راهبرد نیز کاهش تنش و عادی‏سازی روابط با ایران بود. یافته‏های همچنین پژوهش نشان می‏دهد عادی‏سازی صورت گرفته بین ایران و عربستان در مرحله ابتدایی بوده و پایداری آن‏ها در سال‏های آتی نیازمند اعتمادسازی، استفاده از الگوی حل تعارض سازنده و همچنین مقابله با تاثیرگذاری شوک‏های داخلی و خارجی است.

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سیاستگذاری عمومی
دوره 12، شماره 1
فروردین 1405
صفحه 190-208

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